Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited (NSE:IRB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for IRB Infrastructure Developers
What Is IRB Infrastructure Developers's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that IRB Infrastructure Developers had ₹167.4b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹26.1b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹141.3b.
How Healthy Is IRB Infrastructure Developers' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that IRB Infrastructure Developers had liabilities of ₹43.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹250.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹26.1b in cash and ₹22.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹245.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹173.6b, we think shareholders really should watch IRB Infrastructure Developers's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While we wouldn't worry about IRB Infrastructure Developers's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.4, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.6 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On a slightly more positive note, IRB Infrastructure Developers grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if IRB Infrastructure Developers can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, IRB Infrastructure Developers burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, IRB Infrastructure Developers's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think IRB Infrastructure Developers has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that IRB Infrastructure Developers is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:IRB
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Engages in the infrastructure development business in India.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.