Stock Analysis

H.G. Infra Engineering Limited (NSE:HGINFRA) Stock Catapults 30% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

NSEI:HGINFRA
Source: Shutterstock

H.G. Infra Engineering Limited (NSE:HGINFRA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 69%.

Even after such a large jump in price, H.G. Infra Engineering's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 61x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

H.G. Infra Engineering could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for H.G. Infra Engineering

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HGINFRA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on H.G. Infra Engineering will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

H.G. Infra Engineering's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.2% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 128% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.8% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that H.G. Infra Engineering's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On H.G. Infra Engineering's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift H.G. Infra Engineering's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of H.G. Infra Engineering's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for H.G. Infra Engineering (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether H.G. Infra Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.