Stock Analysis

H.G. Infra Engineering Limited (NSE:HGINFRA) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

NSEI:HGINFRA
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H.G. Infra Engineering Limited (NSE:HGINFRA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, H.G. Infra Engineering's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

There hasn't been much to differentiate H.G. Infra Engineering's and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for H.G. Infra Engineering

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HGINFRA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on H.G. Infra Engineering will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as H.G. Infra Engineering's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 189% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.2% as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 24% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that H.G. Infra Engineering's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in H.G. Infra Engineering are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of H.G. Infra Engineering's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for H.G. Infra Engineering that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if H.G. Infra Engineering might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.