Stock Analysis

Is Hexa Tradex (NSE:HEXATRADEX) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:HEXATRADEX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hexa Tradex Limited (NSE:HEXATRADEX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hexa Tradex

How Much Debt Does Hexa Tradex Carry?

As you can see below, Hexa Tradex had ₹455.2m of debt at March 2024, down from ₹5.86b a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HEXATRADEX Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Hexa Tradex's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hexa Tradex had liabilities of ₹80.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹9.06b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹229.0k and ₹267.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹8.87b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹8.65b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hexa Tradex's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Although Hexa Tradex made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated ₹1.3b in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hexa Tradex will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the most recent year, Hexa Tradex recorded free cash flow worth 74% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Hexa Tradex's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Hexa Tradex is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Hexa Tradex's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.