Stock Analysis

HEC Infra Projects Limited (NSE:HECPROJECT) Stocks Shoot Up 36% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

NSEI:HECPROJECT
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Despite an already strong run, HEC Infra Projects Limited (NSE:HECPROJECT) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 86%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider HEC Infra Projects as a stock to avoid entirely with its 61.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, HEC Infra Projects has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for HEC Infra Projects

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HECPROJECT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HEC Infra Projects' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like HEC Infra Projects' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 101% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 1,845% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that HEC Infra Projects' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From HEC Infra Projects' P/E?

HEC Infra Projects' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of HEC Infra Projects revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for HEC Infra Projects (3 are concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HEC Infra Projects is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.