Stock Analysis

With A 26% Price Drop For HBL Power Systems Limited (NSE:HBLPOWER) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

NSEI:HBLPOWER
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HBL Power Systems Limited (NSE:HBLPOWER) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 342% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may still consider HBL Power Systems as a stock to avoid entirely with its 52.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, HBL Power Systems has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for HBL Power Systems

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HBLPOWER Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for HBL Power Systems, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For HBL Power Systems?

HBL Power Systems' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 145% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 1,650% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why HBL Power Systems is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

What We Can Learn From HBL Power Systems' P/E?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate HBL Power Systems' very lofty P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of HBL Power Systems revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for HBL Power Systems with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HBL Power Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.