Stock Analysis

Is It Worth Considering Happy Forgings Limited (NSE:HAPPYFORGE) For Its Upcoming Dividend?

NSEI:HAPPYFORGE
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Happy Forgings Limited (NSE:HAPPYFORGE) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is two business days before the record date, which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Meaning, you will need to purchase Happy Forgings' shares before the 22nd of July to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of August.

The company's next dividend payment will be ₹3.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed ₹3.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Happy Forgings stock has a trailing yield of around 0.3% on the current share price of ₹942.60. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Happy Forgings's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Happy Forgings has a low and conservative payout ratio of just 11% of its income after tax. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out an unsustainably high 328% of its free cash flow as dividends over the past 12 months, which is worrying. Our definition of free cash flow excludes cash generated from asset sales, so since Happy Forgings is paying out such a high percentage of its cash flow, it might be worth seeing if it sold assets or had similar events that might have led to such a high dividend payment.

Happy Forgings paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Happy Forgings to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

View our latest analysis for Happy Forgings

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
NSEI:HAPPYFORGE Historic Dividend July 18th 2025
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. That's why it's comforting to see Happy Forgings's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 26% per annum for the past five years. Earnings have been growing quickly, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

Given that Happy Forgings has only been paying a dividend for a year, there's not much of a past history to draw insight from.

Final Takeaway

Has Happy Forgings got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? We like that Happy Forgings has been successfully growing its earnings per share at a nice rate and reinvesting most of its profits in the business. However, we note the high cashflow payout ratio with some concern. Overall we're not hugely bearish on the stock, but there are likely better dividend investments out there.

So while Happy Forgings looks good from a dividend perspective, it's always worthwhile being up to date with the risks involved in this stock. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for Happy Forgings that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Happy Forgings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.