Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Goldstar Power Limited (NSE:GOLDSTAR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Goldstar Power
How Much Debt Does Goldstar Power Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Goldstar Power had ₹184.6m of debt, an increase on ₹115.7m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Healthy Is Goldstar Power's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Goldstar Power had liabilities of ₹173.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹84.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹813.0k and ₹158.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹99.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Goldstar Power has a market capitalization of ₹304.9m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.9 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0 hit our confidence in Goldstar Power like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. The silver lining is that Goldstar Power grew its EBIT by 313% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Goldstar Power's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Goldstar Power burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Neither Goldstar Power's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Goldstar Power is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Goldstar Power has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GOLDSTAR
Goldstar Power
Engages in the manufacture, production, assembly, trade, and sale of batteries under the GOLDSTAR brand in India.
Adequate balance sheet slight.