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Here's Why GMR Power And Urban Infra (NSE:GMRP&UI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies GMR Power And Urban Infra Limited (NSE:GMRP&UI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for GMR Power And Urban Infra
How Much Debt Does GMR Power And Urban Infra Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 GMR Power And Urban Infra had debt of ₹100.5b, up from ₹77.5b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹9.39b, its net debt is less, at about ₹91.1b.
How Strong Is GMR Power And Urban Infra's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GMR Power And Urban Infra had liabilities of ₹59.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹98.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹9.39b in cash and ₹16.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹131.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹82.5b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, GMR Power And Urban Infra would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
GMR Power And Urban Infra shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.80 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The silver lining is that GMR Power And Urban Infra grew its EBIT by 179% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GMR Power And Urban Infra's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, GMR Power And Urban Infra actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about GMR Power And Urban Infra's difficulty interest cover, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think GMR Power And Urban Infra's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for GMR Power And Urban Infra (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GMRP&UI
GMR Power And Urban Infra
Engages in the energy, urban infrastructure, and transportation businesses in India.
Good value slight.