As GMM Pfaudler (NSE:GMMPFAUDLR) soars 12% this past week, investors may now be noticing the company's three-year earnings growth
This week we saw the GMM Pfaudler Limited (NSE:GMMPFAUDLR) share price climb by 12%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 23% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
While the last three years has been tough for GMM Pfaudler shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about GMM Pfaudler. View them for free.To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, GMM Pfaudler actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 14% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
The modest 0.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 9.8% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching GMM Pfaudler more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Take a more thorough look at GMM Pfaudler's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
GMM Pfaudler shareholders are down 14% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 5.5%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for GMM Pfaudler (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GMMPFAUDLR
GMM Pfaudler
Designs, manufactures, installs, and services corrosion-resistant glass lined equipment used in the chemical, pharmaceutical, and other industries in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.
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