Stock Analysis

Capacit'e Infraprojects (NSE:CAPACITE) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:CAPACITE
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Capacit'e Infraprojects Limited (NSE:CAPACITE) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Capacit'e Infraprojects

What Is Capacit'e Infraprojects's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Capacit'e Infraprojects had debt of ₹2.93b at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₹3.71b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹1.53b, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.40b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CAPACITE Debt to Equity History March 29th 2022

How Healthy Is Capacit'e Infraprojects' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Capacit'e Infraprojects had liabilities of ₹9.26b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹4.14b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.53b and ₹2.53b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹9.33b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹7.46b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Capacit'e Infraprojects's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.73 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.6 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Pleasingly, Capacit'e Infraprojects is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 389% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Capacit'e Infraprojects's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Capacit'e Infraprojects actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Capacit'e Infraprojects's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Capacit'e Infraprojects's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Capacit'e Infraprojects .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.