Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Atal Realtech Limited (NSE:ATALREAL) As Shares Slide 29%

NSEI:ATALREAL
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Atal Realtech Limited (NSE:ATALREAL) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Atal Realtech may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.6x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

The earnings growth achieved at Atal Realtech over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Atal Realtech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ATALREAL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Atal Realtech, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Atal Realtech's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 8.2% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Atal Realtech's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Atal Realtech's P/E

Atal Realtech's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Atal Realtech revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Atal Realtech you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Atal Realtech. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.