Stock Analysis

ARSS Infrastructure Projects Limited's (NSE:ARSSINFRA) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NSEI:ARSSINFRA
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ARSS Infrastructure Projects Limited (NSE:ARSSINFRA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 17% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, ARSS Infrastructure Projects may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Construction industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 2.1x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for ARSS Infrastructure Projects

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ARSSINFRA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 31st 2024

What Does ARSS Infrastructure Projects' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that ARSS Infrastructure Projects' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ARSS Infrastructure Projects will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

ARSS Infrastructure Projects' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 17% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that ARSS Infrastructure Projects' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From ARSS Infrastructure Projects' P/S?

ARSS Infrastructure Projects' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of ARSS Infrastructure Projects revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for ARSS Infrastructure Projects that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ARSS Infrastructure Projects, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.