Stock Analysis

Ahluwalia Contracts (India)'s (NSE:AHLUCONT) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

NSEI:AHLUCONT
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Ahluwalia Contracts (India) (NSE:AHLUCONT), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Ahluwalia Contracts (India) is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = ₹2.7b ÷ (₹25b - ₹11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Ahluwalia Contracts (India) has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 11% generated by the Construction industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Ahluwalia Contracts (India)

roce
NSEI:AHLUCONT Return on Capital Employed July 7th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Ahluwalia Contracts (India)'s prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Ahluwalia Contracts (India)

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Construction industry.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Construction market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Can We Tell From Ahluwalia Contracts (India)'s ROCE Trend?

In terms of Ahluwalia Contracts (India)'s historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 30%, but since then they've fallen to 19%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Another thing to note, Ahluwalia Contracts (India) has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 45%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

What We Can Learn From Ahluwalia Contracts (India)'s ROCE

In summary, Ahluwalia Contracts (India) is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 102% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.

While Ahluwalia Contracts (India) isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.