Stock Analysis

HDFC Bank's (NSE:HDFCBANK) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NSEI:HDFCBANK
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HDFC Bank Limited (NSE:HDFCBANK) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 15th of August to ₹19.00. This makes the dividend yield 1.1%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for HDFC Bank

HDFC Bank's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much.

HDFC Bank has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. While past records don't necessarily translate into future results, the company's payout ratio of 23% also shows that HDFC Bank is able to comfortably pay dividends.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 18.1% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the future payout ratio will be 24%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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NSEI:HDFCBANK Historic Dividend April 20th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ₹2.15 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹19.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 24% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that HDFC Bank has been growing its earnings per share at 18% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.

We Really Like HDFC Bank's Dividend

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that HDFC Bank is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, HDFC Bank has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HDFC Bank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.