Stock Analysis

Suprajit Engineering Limited Just Missed EPS By 26%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

NSEI:SUPRAJIT
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Suprajit Engineering Limited (NSE:SUPRAJIT) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at ₹7.3b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 26%, coming in at just ₹2.75 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Suprajit Engineering

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NSEI:SUPRAJIT Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Suprajit Engineering's ten analysts is for revenues of ₹36.5b in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 24% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to step up 15% to ₹14.30. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹33.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹17.23 in 2025. While next year's revenue estimates increased, there was also a substantial drop in EPS expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view of these results.

The consensus price target was unchanged at ₹534, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Suprajit Engineering analyst has a price target of ₹643 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹471. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Suprajit Engineering shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Suprajit Engineering's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 33% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 16% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Suprajit Engineering to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Suprajit Engineering. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Suprajit Engineering analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Suprajit Engineering's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.