There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Minda (NSE:MINDACORP) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Minda:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.13 = ₹1.8b ÷ (₹23b - ₹9.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, Minda has an ROCE of 13%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 13%.
See our latest analysis for Minda
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Minda compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
So How Is Minda's ROCE Trending?
We weren't thrilled with the trend because Minda's ROCE has reduced by 37% over the last five years, while the business employed 54% more capital. Usually this isn't ideal, but given Minda conducted a capital raising before their most recent earnings announcement, that would've likely contributed, at least partially, to the increased capital employed figure. It's unlikely that all of the funds raised have been put to work yet, so as a consequence Minda might not have received a full period of earnings contribution from it.
On a side note, Minda has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 41% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.
The Bottom Line
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Minda is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 69% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Minda we've found 3 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Minda may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:MINDACORP
Minda
Manufactures and assembles safety and security systems, and its associated components for the automotive industry in India, rest of Asia, the Americas, and Europe.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.
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