Stock Analysis

Jay Bharat Maruti Limited's (NSE:JAYBARMARU) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

NSEI:JAYBARMARU
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There wouldn't be many who think Jay Bharat Maruti Limited's (NSE:JAYBARMARU) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in India is similar at about 33x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Jay Bharat Maruti over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Jay Bharat Maruti

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:JAYBARMARU Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 26th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jay Bharat Maruti will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Jay Bharat Maruti's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.6%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 35% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Jay Bharat Maruti's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Jay Bharat Maruti currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jay Bharat Maruti (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.