Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Banco Products (India)'s (NSE:BANCOINDIA) Earnings

NSEI:BANCOINDIA
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Banco Products (India) Limited (NSE:BANCOINDIA) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:BANCOINDIA Earnings and Revenue History May 25th 2025
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A Closer Look At Banco Products (India)'s Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Banco Products (India) has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to March 2025. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₹659m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of ₹3.92b. Banco Products (India)'s free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. One positive for Banco Products (India) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Banco Products (India).

Our Take On Banco Products (India)'s Profit Performance

Banco Products (India) didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Banco Products (India)'s statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Banco Products (India) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Banco Products (India)'s profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Banco Products (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:BANCOINDIA

Banco Products (India)

Engages in the manufacture and sale of heat exchangers/cooling systems in India and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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