Stock Analysis

Is Banco Products (India) (NSE:BANCOINDIA) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:BANCOINDIA
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Banco Products (India) Limited (NSE:BANCOINDIA) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Banco Products (India)

What Is Banco Products (India)'s Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Banco Products (India) had ₹2.22b of debt in March 2024, down from ₹2.92b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹634.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.58b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BANCOINDIA Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024

How Strong Is Banco Products (India)'s Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Banco Products (India) had liabilities of ₹6.72b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹3.04b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹634.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹4.81b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹4.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Banco Products (India) shares are worth a total of ₹47.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Banco Products (India)'s net debt is only 0.37 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Banco Products (India) grew its EBIT at 12% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Banco Products (India)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Banco Products (India) recorded free cash flow of 20% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Banco Products (India)'s interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Banco Products (India) can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Banco Products (India), you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.