Stock Analysis

Would Shareholders Who Purchased El Al Israel Airlines' (TLV:ELAL) Stock Five Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

TASE:ELAL
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Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn't mean you should hold every stock forever. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Imagine if you held El Al Israel Airlines Ltd. (TLV:ELAL) for half a decade as the share price tanked 76%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 28% over the last twelve months. The silver lining is that the stock is up 1.5% in about a week.

Check out our latest analysis for El Al Israel Airlines

Given that El Al Israel Airlines didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last five years El Al Israel Airlines saw its revenue shrink by 2.9% per year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The share price fall of 12% (per year, over five years) is a stern reminder that money-losing companies are expected to grow revenue. We're generally averse to companies with declining revenues, but we're not alone in that. That is not really what the successful investors we know aim for.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TASE:ELAL Earnings and Revenue Growth February 9th 2021

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between El Al Israel Airlines' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. El Al Israel Airlines' TSR of was a loss of 73% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

El Al Israel Airlines shareholders are down 28% for the year, but the market itself is up 1.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand El Al Israel Airlines better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for El Al Israel Airlines that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IL exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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