Stock Analysis

Should You Use One Software Technologies's (TLV:ONE) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

TASE:ONE
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing One Software Technologies (TLV:ONE).

While One Software Technologies was able to generate revenue of ₪1.72b in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of ₪83.0m was more important. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years.

See our latest analysis for One Software Technologies

earnings-and-revenue-history
TASE:ONE Earnings and Revenue History January 28th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. So today we'll look at what One Software Technologies' cashflow tells us about its earnings, as well as examining how issuing shares is impacting shareholder value. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of One Software Technologies.

Zooming In On One Software Technologies' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2020, One Software Technologies recorded an accrual ratio of -0.22. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₪177m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₪83.0m. One Software Technologies shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, One Software Technologies increased the number of shares on issue by 5.3% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out One Software Technologies' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting One Software Technologies' Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

One Software Technologies has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 26% in that time. And over the last 12 months, the company grew its profit by 3.5%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 3.4% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if One Software Technologies can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On One Software Technologies' Profit Performance

At the end of the day, One Software Technologies is diluting shareholders which will dampen earnings per share growth, but its accrual ratio showed it can back up its profits with free cash flow. Based on these factors, we think that One Software Technologies' profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that One Software Technologies has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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