Stock Analysis

Qualitau (TLV:QLTU) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

TASE:QLTU
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. This article will consider whether Qualitau's (TLV:QLTU) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Qualitau made a profit of US$2.48m on its revenue of US$23.4m, in the last year. Happily, it has grown both its profit and revenue over the last three years, as you can see in the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Qualitau

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TASE:QLTU Earnings and Revenue History January 13th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. As a result, today we're going to take a closer look at Qualitau's cashflow, and unusual items, with a view to understanding what these might tell us about its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qualitau.

Zooming In On Qualitau's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2020, Qualitau had an accrual ratio of -0.26. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$4.9m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$2.48m. Qualitau's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Qualitau's profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$983k in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Qualitau had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2020. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Qualitau's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Qualitau's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Qualitau's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you want to do dive deeper into Qualitau, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Qualitau you should be aware of.

Our examination of Qualitau has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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