Stock Analysis

Is Multi Retail Group (TLV:MRG) A Risky Investment?

Published
TASE:MRG

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Multi Retail Group Ltd (TLV:MRG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Multi Retail Group

How Much Debt Does Multi Retail Group Carry?

As you can see below, Multi Retail Group had ₪41.0m of debt at September 2024, down from ₪51.1m a year prior. However, it also had ₪4.44m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪36.5m.

TASE:MRG Debt to Equity History January 17th 2025

A Look At Multi Retail Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Multi Retail Group had liabilities of ₪379.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪367.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪4.44m as well as receivables valued at ₪52.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪689.6m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪336.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Multi Retail Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Multi Retail Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.45 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.1 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably, Multi Retail Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of ₪66m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Multi Retail Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Multi Retail Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

While Multi Retail Group's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Multi Retail Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Multi Retail Group (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.