Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Max Stock Ltd. (TLV:MAXO)

When close to half the companies in Israel have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Max Stock Ltd. (TLV:MAXO) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 15.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Max Stock over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Max Stock

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TASE:MAXO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Max Stock, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
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How Is Max Stock's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Max Stock's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 9.9% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 30% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Max Stock is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Max Stock's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Max Stock revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Max Stock you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TASE:MAXO

Max Stock

Operates various discount stores in Israel.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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