Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Airport City Ltd. (TLV:ARPT) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Airport City
How Much Debt Does Airport City Carry?
As you can see below, Airport City had ₪5.26b of debt, at March 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has ₪955.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪4.31b.
How Strong Is Airport City's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Airport City had liabilities of ₪1.68b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪5.46b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪955.0m and ₪260.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪5.92b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₪7.11b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Airport City's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
As it happens Airport City has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.2 but very strong interest coverage of 10.6. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We saw Airport City grow its EBIT by 5.7% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Airport City will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Airport City recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Airport City's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Airport City's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Airport City is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TASE:ARPT
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.