Stock Analysis

Is Israel Canada (T.R) (TLV:ISCN) Using Too Much Debt?

TASE:ISCN
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Israel Canada (T.R)

What Is Israel Canada (T.R)'s Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Israel Canada (T.R) had ₪5.79b of debt, up from ₪4.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪314.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪5.47b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ISCN Debt to Equity History January 9th 2025

How Strong Is Israel Canada (T.R)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Israel Canada (T.R) had liabilities of ₪3.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪3.34b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪314.9m as well as receivables valued at ₪368.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪5.99b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₪5.02b, we think shareholders really should watch Israel Canada (T.R)'s debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 48.2 hit our confidence in Israel Canada (T.R) like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Israel Canada (T.R) saw its EBIT tank 52% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Israel Canada (T.R) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Israel Canada (T.R) burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Israel Canada (T.R)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. We think the chances that Israel Canada (T.R) has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Israel Canada (T.R) has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.