Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that BIG Shopping Centers Ltd (TLV:BIG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for BIG Shopping Centers
What Is BIG Shopping Centers's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 BIG Shopping Centers had debt of ₪19.1b, up from ₪17.2b in one year. However, it also had ₪1.16b in cash, and so its net debt is ₪17.9b.
How Healthy Is BIG Shopping Centers' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that BIG Shopping Centers had liabilities of ₪4.01b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪18.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₪1.16b in cash and ₪537.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪20.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪6.35b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, BIG Shopping Centers would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BIG Shopping Centers shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (16.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, BIG Shopping Centers's EBIT was down 22% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since BIG Shopping Centers will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, BIG Shopping Centers's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On the face of it, BIG Shopping Centers's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think BIG Shopping Centers has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example BIG Shopping Centers has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:BIG
BIG Shopping Centers
Engages in the investment, development, management, and leasing of lifestyle shopping centers in Israel, the United States, Serbia, Montenegro, France, and Eastern Europe.
Low and slightly overvalued.