David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that BIG Shopping Centers Ltd (TLV:BIG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for BIG Shopping Centers
What Is BIG Shopping Centers's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, BIG Shopping Centers had ₪18.5b of debt, up from ₪16.0b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₪2.05b in cash, and so its net debt is ₪16.5b.
How Strong Is BIG Shopping Centers' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that BIG Shopping Centers had liabilities of ₪3.93b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪17.4b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₪2.05b in cash and ₪373.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪18.9b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪7.30b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, BIG Shopping Centers would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
BIG Shopping Centers shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, BIG Shopping Centers saw its EBIT drop by 6.8% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BIG Shopping Centers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, BIG Shopping Centers's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
To be frank both BIG Shopping Centers's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think BIG Shopping Centers has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with BIG Shopping Centers (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if BIG Shopping Centers might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:BIG
BIG Shopping Centers
Engages in the investment, development, management, and leasing of lifestyle shopping centers in Israel, the United States, Serbia, Montenegro, France, and Eastern Europe.
Proven track record and slightly overvalued.
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