Stock Analysis

Are Kamada's (TLV:KMDA) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

TASE:KMDA
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Kamada (TLV:KMDA).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Kamada made a profit of US$20.9m on revenue of US$133.8m. The chart below shows that revenue has improved over the last three years, and, even better, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for Kamada

earnings-and-revenue-history
TASE:KMDA Earnings and Revenue History November 29th 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. In this article we will consider how Kamada's decision to issue new shares in the company has impacted returns to shareholders. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Kamada issued 10% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Kamada's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Kamada's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

Three years ago, Kamada lost money. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 39%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 45% in the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, if Kamada's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On Kamada's Profit Performance

Over the last year Kamada issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Because of this, we think that it may be that Kamada's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Kamada at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Kamada you should be mindful of and 1 of these is concerning.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kamada's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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