With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 12x in Israel, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about ICL Group Ltd's (TLV:ICL) P/E ratio of 12.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
ICL Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
View our latest analysis for ICL Group
Keen to find out how analysts think ICL Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like ICL Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 70%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.8% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 14% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why ICL Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of ICL Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for ICL Group that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ICL Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ICL
ICL Group
Operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.