Stock Analysis

Gan Shmuel Foods (TLV:GSFI) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

TASE:GSFI
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. (TLV:GSFI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gan Shmuel Foods

What Is Gan Shmuel Foods's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Gan Shmuel Foods had debt of US$21.1m, up from US$17.6m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$14.9m, its net debt is less, at about US$6.16m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:GSFI Debt to Equity History May 29th 2021

A Look At Gan Shmuel Foods' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gan Shmuel Foods had liabilities of US$36.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$44.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$14.9m as well as receivables valued at US$43.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$23.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Gan Shmuel Foods is worth US$95.5m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 1.1 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Gan Shmuel Foods's EBIT has low interest coverage of 0.48 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Gan Shmuel Foods's EBIT was down 90% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Gan Shmuel Foods's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Gan Shmuel Foods actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Gan Shmuel Foods's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Gan Shmuel Foods is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gan Shmuel Foods (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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