Stock Analysis

Does Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TASE:NVPT
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Navitas Petroleum, Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership

What Is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had debt of US$438.0m, up from US$327.7m in one year. However, it does have US$53.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$384.4m.

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TASE:NVPT Debt to Equity History April 3rd 2022

A Look At Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had liabilities of US$34.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$434.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$53.6m and US$9.15m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$406.5m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$540.6m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 2.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.9 hit our confidence in Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 664%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership (including 2 which are concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.