Stock Analysis

Does Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT.L) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TASE:NVPT
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Navitas Petroleum, Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT.L) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership

What Is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had US$333.3m of debt, an increase on US$282.4m, over one year. However, it does have US$122.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$211.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:NVPT.L Debt to Equity History August 9th 2021

How Strong Is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had liabilities of US$191.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$171.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$122.3m as well as receivables valued at US$175.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$65.0m.

Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership has a market capitalization of US$284.6m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.86 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The silver lining is that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership grew its EBIT by 913% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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