Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership's (TLV:MDIN) 26% Share Price Plunge

TASE:MDIN
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (TLV:MDIN) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 59% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -7.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Israel, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 11x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TASE:MDIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 29th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 146%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership's P/E

Shares in Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.