Stock Analysis

Delek Group (TLV:DLEKG) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

TASE:DLEKG
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Delek Group Ltd. (TLV:DLEKG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Delek Group

What Is Delek Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Delek Group had ₪15.7b of debt, an increase on ₪14.1b, over one year. However, it does have ₪2.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪12.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:DLEKG Debt to Equity History July 24th 2023

How Strong Is Delek Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Delek Group had liabilities of ₪6.92b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪22.2b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪2.87b as well as receivables valued at ₪2.73b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪23.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪8.52b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Delek Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Delek Group's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.7 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.5 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Shareholders should be aware that Delek Group's EBIT was down 41% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Delek Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Delek Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Delek Group's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Delek Group to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Delek Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TASE:DLEKG

Delek Group

An energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and gas in Israel and internationally.

Solid track record established dividend payer.

Community Narratives

Leading the Game with Growth, Innovation, and Exceptional Returns
Fair Value SEK 300.00|50.46000000000001% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why ASML Dominates the Chip Market
Fair Value €864.91|18.292% undervalued
yiannisz
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
Fair Value US$142.00|20.485999999999997% undervalued
Maxell
Maxell
Community Contributor