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Earnings Working Against Ybox Real Estate Ltd.'s (TLV:YBOX) Share Price
Ybox Real Estate Ltd.'s (TLV:YBOX) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Israel, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 22x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Ybox Real Estate over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Ybox Real Estate
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ybox Real Estate, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Ybox Real Estate's Growth Trending?
Ybox Real Estate's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Ybox Real Estate is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Ybox Real Estate maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Ybox Real Estate (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ybox Real Estate's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:YBOX
Ybox Real Estate
Ybox Real Estate Ltd., formerly known as Marathon Investments SA., is a real estate investment firm specializing investments in residential projects, commercial and office buildings.
Moderate and overvalued.