Stock Analysis

Erech Finance Cahalacha Ltd's (TLV:EFNC) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

TASE:EFNC-M
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Erech Finance Cahalacha Ltd's (TLV:EFNC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 75x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Israel, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Erech Finance Cahalacha's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Erech Finance Cahalacha

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TASE:EFNC Price Based on Past Earnings March 28th 2022
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Erech Finance Cahalacha's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Erech Finance Cahalacha's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Erech Finance Cahalacha would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 38%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Erech Finance Cahalacha is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Erech Finance Cahalacha's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Erech Finance Cahalacha currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Erech Finance Cahalacha that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Erech Finance Cahalacha. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Erech Finance Cahalacha might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.