Stock Analysis

We Think Hamama Meir Trading (1996) (TLV:HMAM) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TASE:HMAM
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hamama Meir Trading (1996) Ltd. (TLV:HMAM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hamama Meir Trading (1996)

What Is Hamama Meir Trading (1996)'s Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hamama Meir Trading (1996) had ₪69.6m of debt in December 2020, down from ₪89.9m, one year before. However, it does have ₪11.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪57.9m.

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TASE:HMAM Debt to Equity History May 21st 2021

How Healthy Is Hamama Meir Trading (1996)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hamama Meir Trading (1996) had liabilities of ₪107.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪11.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪11.7m and ₪81.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₪25.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hamama Meir Trading (1996) has a market capitalization of ₪55.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hamama Meir Trading (1996) shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.9 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Hamama Meir Trading (1996) is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₪7.0m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hamama Meir Trading (1996) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Hamama Meir Trading (1996) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Hamama Meir Trading (1996)'s net debt to EBITDA and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Hamama Meir Trading (1996)'s debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hamama Meir Trading (1996) (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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