Stock Analysis

Shapir Engineering and Industry (TLV:SPEN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

TASE:SPEN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Shapir Engineering and Industry Ltd (TLV:SPEN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shapir Engineering and Industry

What Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shapir Engineering and Industry had ₪8.22b of debt, up from ₪7.38b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₪845.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪7.37b.

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TASE:SPEN Debt to Equity History January 9th 2024

How Strong Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shapir Engineering and Industry had liabilities of ₪3.27b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪7.72b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪845.0m and ₪2.18b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₪7.97b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₪8.34b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shapir Engineering and Industry shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.91 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, Shapir Engineering and Industry saw its EBIT drop by 4.9% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shapir Engineering and Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Shapir Engineering and Industry actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Shapir Engineering and Industry's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Shapir Engineering and Industry has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Shapir Engineering and Industry is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shapir Engineering and Industry is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.