Stock Analysis

Ecoppia Scientific (TLV:ECPA) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

TASE:ECPA-M
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Ecoppia Scientific (TLV:ECPA) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

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How Long Is Ecoppia Scientific's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2020, Ecoppia Scientific had US$19m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$6.9m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.7 years as of September 2020. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

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TASE:ECPA Debt to Equity History March 2nd 2021

How Is Ecoppia Scientific's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Ecoppia Scientific has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$2.7m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 39%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Ecoppia Scientific due to its lack of significant operating revenues. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Ecoppia Scientific To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Ecoppia Scientific shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Ecoppia Scientific has a market capitalisation of US$310m and burnt through US$6.9m last year, which is 2.2% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Ecoppia Scientific's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Ecoppia Scientific is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Ecoppia Scientific (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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