Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Birman Wood & Hardware Ltd (TLV:BIRM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Birman Wood & Hardware Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Birman Wood & Hardware had ₪284.5m of debt, an increase on ₪236.8m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Healthy Is Birman Wood & Hardware's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Birman Wood & Hardware had liabilities of ₪279.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪63.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪416.0k as well as receivables valued at ₪163.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪179.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₪157.7m, we think shareholders really should watch Birman Wood & Hardware's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.7, it's fair to say Birman Wood & Hardware does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Birman Wood & Hardware's EBIT was down 53% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Birman Wood & Hardware will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Birman Wood & Hardware saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Birman Wood & Hardware's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Birman Wood & Hardware has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Birman Wood & Hardware (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:BIRM
Birman Wood & Hardware
Imports, produces, and markets wood panels, hardware products, kitchen electrical appliances, and laminate flooring parquets.
Moderate and good value.