Stock Analysis

We Think Augwind Energy Tech Storage (TLV:AUGN) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

TASE:AUGN
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So, the natural question for Augwind Energy Tech Storage (TLV:AUGN) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Augwind Energy Tech Storage

Does Augwind Energy Tech Storage Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In June 2023, Augwind Energy Tech Storage had ₪70m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through ₪41m. Therefore, from June 2023 it had roughly 20 months of cash runway. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:AUGN Debt to Equity History January 8th 2024

How Is Augwind Energy Tech Storage's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Augwind Energy Tech Storage has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced ₪3.1m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Even though it doesn't get us excited, the 30% reduction in cash burn year on year does suggest the company can continue operating for quite some time. Augwind Energy Tech Storage makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

Can Augwind Energy Tech Storage Raise More Cash Easily?

Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for Augwind Energy Tech Storage to raise more cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Augwind Energy Tech Storage has a market capitalisation of ₪76m and burnt through ₪41m last year, which is 54% of the company's market value. That's high expenditure relative to the value of the entire company, so if it does have to issue shares to fund more growth, that could end up really hurting shareholders returns (through significant dilution).

Is Augwind Energy Tech Storage's Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Augwind Energy Tech Storage's cash burn, we think its cash burn reduction was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. On another note, Augwind Energy Tech Storage has 4 warning signs (and 3 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course Augwind Energy Tech Storage may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.