Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ashtrom Group (TLV:ASHG) Is Using Debt Extensively

TASE:ASHG
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Ashtrom Group Ltd. (TLV:ASHG) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ashtrom Group

What Is Ashtrom Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Ashtrom Group had ₪9.94b of debt, an increase on ₪8.65b, over one year. However, it does have ₪1.84b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪8.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ASHG Debt to Equity History March 24th 2023

A Look At Ashtrom Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ashtrom Group had liabilities of ₪4.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪8.35b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪1.84b in cash and ₪1.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪9.21b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪5.98b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Ashtrom Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ashtrom Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (11.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, Ashtrom Group grew its EBIT by 30% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ashtrom Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Ashtrom Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Ashtrom Group's net debt to EBITDA has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Ashtrom Group's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ashtrom Group (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.