Stock Analysis

Investors three-year returns in Israel Discount Bank (TLV:DSCT) have not grown faster than the company's underlying earnings growth

TASE:DSCT
Source: Shutterstock

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Israel Discount Bank Limited (TLV:DSCT), which is up 20%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 6.8% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 3.4%, including dividends.

Although Israel Discount Bank has shed ₪1.4b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

See our latest analysis for Israel Discount Bank

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, Israel Discount Bank achieved compound earnings per share growth of 40% per year. The average annual share price increase of 6% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 5.82 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
TASE:DSCT Earnings Per Share Growth August 5th 2024

We know that Israel Discount Bank has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Israel Discount Bank stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Israel Discount Bank the TSR over the last 3 years was 32%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Israel Discount Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.4% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 6% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Israel Discount Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Israel Discount Bank .

But note: Israel Discount Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Israeli exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.