Stock Analysis

Smurfit Kappa Group (ISE:SK3) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

ISE:SK3
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Smurfit Kappa Group (ISE:SK3) so let's look a bit deeper.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Smurfit Kappa Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.18 = €1.7b ÷ (€12b - €3.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Smurfit Kappa Group has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 12% generated by the Packaging industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Smurfit Kappa Group

roce
ISE:SK3 Return on Capital Employed June 17th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Smurfit Kappa Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Smurfit Kappa Group here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Smurfit Kappa Group

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Packaging market.
Opportunity
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.

How Are Returns Trending?

We like the trends that we're seeing from Smurfit Kappa Group. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 18%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 46%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

The Key Takeaway

A company that is growing its returns on capital and can consistently reinvest in itself is a highly sought after trait, and that's what Smurfit Kappa Group has. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last five years the stock has only returned 14% to shareholders. So exploring more about this stock could uncover a good opportunity, if the valuation and other metrics stack up.

One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Smurfit Kappa Group (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

While Smurfit Kappa Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Smurfit Kappa Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ISE:SK3

Smurfit Kappa Group

Smurfit Kappa Group Plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in Ireland, Germany, France, Mexico, rest of Europe, and other Americas.

Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.