Origin Enterprises Valuation

Is OIZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OIZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OIZ (€3.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OIZ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OIZ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OIZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.4x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OIZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OIZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.8x
DQ7A Donegal Investment Group
20.2xn/a€25.1m
TLDN Teladan Prima Agro
12.8xn/aRp5.8t
AEP Anglo-Eastern Plantations
7.7xn/aUK£301.3m
SCFNS Socfinasia
6.4xn/a€293.9m
OIZ Origin Enterprises
8.2x10.9%€356.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OIZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OIZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OIZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OIZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OIZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OIZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OIZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.30
€4.60
+39.3%
18.9%€5.60€3.19n/a5
Apr ’25€3.15
€4.66
+47.8%
17.3%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Mar ’25€3.10
€4.85
+56.4%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Feb ’25€3.41
€4.85
+42.4%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Jan ’25€3.44
€4.85
+40.9%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Dec ’24€3.56
€4.85
+36.2%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Nov ’24€3.18
€4.85
+52.5%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Oct ’24€3.26
€4.85
+48.7%
16.9%€5.60€3.19n/a6
Sep ’24€3.37
€5.20
+54.5%
8.8%€5.90€4.60n/a5
Aug ’24€3.20
€5.20
+62.5%
8.8%€5.90€4.60n/a5
Jul ’24€3.34
€5.20
+55.9%
8.8%€5.90€4.60n/a5
Jun ’24€3.42
€5.35
+56.4%
7.2%€5.90€4.90n/a4
May ’24€3.96
€5.50
+39.1%
5.9%€5.90€5.10n/a3
Apr ’24€4.13
€5.50
+33.2%
5.9%€5.90€5.10€3.153
Mar ’24€4.30
€5.31
+23.6%
8.2%€5.90€4.73€3.104
Feb ’24€4.19
€5.16
+23.1%
5.5%€5.50€4.73€3.414
Jan ’24€4.31
€5.16
+19.7%
5.5%€5.50€4.73€3.444
Dec ’23€3.95
€5.16
+30.6%
5.5%€5.50€4.73€3.564
Nov ’23€3.72
€5.16
+38.6%
5.5%€5.50€4.73€3.184
Oct ’23€3.63
€5.11
+41.0%
6.2%€5.50€4.73€3.263
Sep ’23€3.68
€5.20
+41.5%
4.2%€5.50€5.00€3.373
Aug ’23€3.93
€5.20
+32.5%
4.2%€5.50€5.00€3.203
Jul ’23€4.24
€5.20
+22.6%
4.2%€5.50€5.00€3.343
Jun ’23€4.50
€4.90
+8.9%
2.9%€5.00€4.70€3.423
May ’23€4.28
€4.78
+11.9%
3.2%€5.00€4.65€3.963
Apr ’23€4.07
€4.18
+2.7%
4.2%€4.35€4.00€4.132

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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