Dalata Hotel Group Valuation

Is DHG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DHG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DHG (€4.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DHG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DHG?

Key metric: As DHG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DHG. This is calculated by dividing DHG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DHG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.6x
Earnings€84.03m
Market Cap€973.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DHG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DHG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
000524 Guangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings
45x22.0%CN¥6.6b
600054 Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd
28.2x17.0%CN¥7.1b
LEMONTREE Lemon Tree Hotels
63.4x36.1%₹96.2b
500413 Thomas Cook (India)
33.5x20.9%₹94.9b
DHG Dalata Hotel Group
11.6x5.0%€973.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DHG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (42.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DHG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DHG 11.6xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DHG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DHG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DHG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DHG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DHG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.53
€5.39
+19.0%
14.6%€6.50€4.60n/a4
Nov ’25€4.34
€5.65
+30.3%
15.5%€6.70€4.60n/a5
Oct ’25€4.04
€5.65
+40.1%
15.5%€6.70€4.60n/a5
Sep ’25€4.40
€5.99
+36.1%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
Aug ’25€4.12
€5.99
+45.4%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
Jul ’25€3.94
€5.99
+52.0%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
Jun ’25€4.21
€5.99
+42.3%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
May ’25€4.22
€5.99
+41.9%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
Apr ’25€4.51
€5.99
+33.0%
11.8%€6.70€4.70n/a5
Mar ’25€4.28
€5.85
+36.7%
11.0%€6.50€4.70n/a5
Feb ’25€4.80
€5.77
+20.1%
12.1%€6.50€4.70n/a4
Jan ’25€4.62
€5.64
+22.1%
10.4%€6.25€4.70n/a4
Dec ’24€4.20
€5.64
+34.3%
10.4%€6.25€4.70n/a4
Nov ’24€4.07
€5.64
+38.6%
10.4%€6.25€4.70€4.344
Oct ’24€4.02
€5.64
+40.5%
10.4%€6.25€4.70€4.044
Sep ’24€4.32
€5.64
+30.6%
10.4%€6.25€4.70€4.404
Aug ’24€4.25
€5.61
+32.1%
10.5%€6.25€4.70€4.124
Jul ’24€4.64
€5.46
+17.9%
15.2%€6.25€4.10€3.944
Jun ’24€4.26
€5.41
+27.2%
14.8%€6.25€4.10€4.214
May ’24€4.56
€5.41
+18.8%
14.8%€6.25€4.10€4.224
Apr ’24€4.19
€5.13
+22.5%
14.4%€5.80€4.10€4.513
Mar ’24€4.23
€4.45
+5.2%
23.6%€5.50€3.40€4.282
Feb ’24€3.91
€4.90
+25.5%
21.8%€5.80€3.40€4.803
Jan ’24€3.27
€4.60
+40.7%
26.1%€5.80€3.40€4.622
Dec ’23€3.40
€5.40
+58.8%
7.4%€5.80€5.00€4.202
Nov ’23€3.25
€5.40
+66.4%
7.4%€5.80€5.00€4.072

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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