Dalata Hotel Group plc (ISE:DHG), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the ISE. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Dalata Hotel Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for Dalata Hotel Group
What's the opportunity in Dalata Hotel Group?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 4.4% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Dalata Hotel Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is €3.40, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Dalata Hotel Group’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from Dalata Hotel Group?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected next year, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Dalata Hotel Group, at least in the near future.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? DHG seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DHG for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on DHG should the price fluctuate below its true value.
If you'd like to know more about Dalata Hotel Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Dalata Hotel Group (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ISE:DHG
Dalata Hotel Group
Owns, leases, and manages hotels under the Maldron Hotels and Clayton Hotels brand names in Dublin, Regional Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Continental Europe.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.