Bank BTPN Syariah Valuation

Is BTPS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BTPS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BTPS (IDR1195) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR2422.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BTPS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BTPS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BTPS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BTPS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BTPS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
BBTN Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero)
5.1x11.3%Rp18.1t
SDRA Bank Woori Saudara Indonesia 1906
6.2xn/aRp4.3t
MCOR Bank China Construction Bank Indonesia
10.1xn/aRp2.6t
BABP Bank MNC Internasional
28.5xn/aRp2.2t
BTPS Bank BTPN Syariah
10x25.3%Rp9.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BTPS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BTPS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BTPS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the ID Banks industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BTPS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BTPS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BTPS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BTPS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp1,195.00
Rp1,828.50
+53.0%
23.4%Rp3,000.00Rp1,450.00n/a10
Apr ’25Rp1,260.00
Rp1,838.50
+45.9%
22.9%Rp3,000.00Rp1,450.00n/a10
Mar ’25Rp1,420.00
Rp1,894.50
+33.4%
21.7%Rp3,000.00Rp1,535.00n/a10
Feb ’25Rp1,590.00
Rp1,982.00
+24.7%
19.8%Rp3,000.00Rp1,650.00n/a10
Jan ’25Rp1,690.00
Rp2,269.44
+34.3%
22.9%Rp3,085.00Rp1,650.00n/a9
Dec ’24Rp1,615.00
Rp2,297.22
+42.2%
22.7%Rp3,085.00Rp1,650.00n/a9
Nov ’24Rp1,580.00
Rp2,378.50
+50.5%
20.3%Rp3,085.00Rp1,770.00n/a10
Oct ’24Rp1,905.00
Rp2,781.50
+46.0%
11.8%Rp3,375.00Rp2,200.00n/a10
Sep ’24Rp2,180.00
Rp2,864.09
+31.4%
11.9%Rp3,400.00Rp2,200.00n/a11
Aug ’24Rp2,130.00
Rp2,864.09
+34.5%
11.9%Rp3,400.00Rp2,200.00n/a11
Jul ’24Rp2,070.00
Rp3,007.50
+45.3%
17.4%Rp4,000.00Rp2,200.00n/a10
Jun ’24Rp1,900.00
Rp3,007.50
+58.3%
17.4%Rp4,000.00Rp2,200.00n/a10
May ’24Rp2,140.00
Rp3,347.50
+56.4%
21.4%Rp4,600.00Rp2,200.00Rp1,215.0010
Apr ’24Rp2,190.00
Rp3,710.00
+69.4%
15.3%Rp4,600.00Rp2,600.00Rp1,260.0010
Mar ’24Rp2,310.00
Rp3,771.00
+63.2%
14.5%Rp4,600.00Rp2,600.00Rp1,420.0010
Feb ’24Rp2,640.00
Rp4,108.00
+55.6%
8.6%Rp4,600.00Rp3,600.00Rp1,590.0010
Jan ’24Rp2,790.00
Rp4,118.00
+47.6%
8.2%Rp4,600.00Rp3,700.00Rp1,690.0010
Dec ’23Rp3,100.00
Rp4,133.89
+33.4%
8.8%Rp4,600.00Rp3,585.00Rp1,615.009
Nov ’23Rp3,110.00
Rp4,092.22
+31.6%
8.3%Rp4,600.00Rp3,585.00Rp1,580.009
Oct ’23Rp2,730.00
Rp4,147.50
+51.9%
7.9%Rp4,500.00Rp3,585.00Rp1,905.008
Sep ’23Rp3,050.00
Rp4,132.78
+35.5%
7.2%Rp4,500.00Rp3,700.00Rp2,180.009
Aug ’23Rp2,840.00
Rp4,132.78
+45.5%
7.2%Rp4,500.00Rp3,700.00Rp2,130.009
Jul ’23Rp2,660.00
Rp4,168.89
+56.7%
7.6%Rp4,675.00Rp3,800.00Rp2,070.009
Jun ’23Rp3,050.00
Rp4,130.00
+35.4%
7.8%Rp4,675.00Rp3,780.00Rp1,900.0010
May ’23Rp3,450.00
Rp4,190.00
+21.4%
7.4%Rp4,675.00Rp3,780.00Rp2,140.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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